Credit: Alberta.ca
The Government of Alberta has released a new COVID-19 mathematical modelling with a new “low” modelling scenario which estimates about 298 Albertans requiring hospitalization and 95 in critical care when the virus reaches its peak.
According to health officials, if current trends continue, this “low” modelling scenario which estimates that Alberta’s outbreak will reach its peak in late May will become the most likely scenario for Alberta.
Credit: Alberta.ca
Credit: Alberta.ca
As per the new modelling, the number of Albertans hospitalized at the peak of the virus is predicted to be lower than originally estimated with the probable scenario predicting 596 people requiring hospitalization, with 190 requiring critical care on the days when the virus reaches its peak. In the earlier modelling, probable scenario predicted about 900 hospitalizations and about 230 requiring critical care.
CURRENT TRENDS
Credit: Alberta.ca
Credit: Alberta.ca
New models released by the federal government show a pandemic paradox is playing out in Canada as more people die from COVID-19, even as the increase in new cases slows down. The government expects to see between 3,227 and 3,883 deaths by May 5 according to its latest projections.
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