Canada Sees Minimal Population Growth in Early 2025 Amid Immigration Policy Shifts

Canada’s population saw minimal growth in the first quarter of 2025, increasing by only 20,107 people, or 0.0%, reaching a total of 41,548,787, says Statistics Canada.

 

The report attributes the slowdown to reduced levels of both temporary and permanent immigration, as announced by the federal government in 2024. Additionally, a continued trend of natural population decline—characterized by more deaths than births—contributed to the stagnation in overall demographic growth.

Here are the highlights of the report:

 

Lowest growth since pandemic onset:

  • The first quarter marked the smallest increase since Q3 2020, when the population fell by 1,232 due to COVID-19 restrictions.
  • It was the second-slowest quarterly growth rate since 1946.

Effects of Immigration:

  • Per Statistics Canada, this period marks the sixth straight quarter of slowing growth, following federal government decisions in 2024 to reduce both permanent and temporary immigration levels.
  • The first quarter of 2025 showed the second-lowest growth rate on record since 1946.
  • From 2001 to 2024, Q1 growth averaged 0.3%; in 2024 it was 0.6%, contrasting with 2025’s flat rate.

Population changes and Interprovincial migration:

Ontario and B.C. experienced their most considerable quarterly population losses since records began in 1951.

Overall Population Declines:

  • Ontario: -5,664
  • British Columbia: -2,357
  • Quebec: -1,013
  • Newfoundland and Labrador: -115
  • Yukon: -15

Overall Population Gains:

  • Alberta: +20,562
  • Prince Edward Island: +749
  • Northwest Territories: +168
  • Nunavut: +158

Interprovincial migration:

Interprovincial migration slowed, with 81,231 moves recorded—the lowest since 2021.

  • Alberta led with a net gain of 7,176, marking its 11th straight quarter of interprovincial growth.
  • Manitoba (+106) posted its first net gain since 2004.
  • Saskatchewan’s loss (-152) was its smallest since 2013.

Natural population:

  • Natural population change was negative in the quarter, with 5,628 more deaths than births.
  • This trend, driven by an aging population and winter mortality rates, has occurred in every first quarter since 2022.

Immigration:

 

International migration accounted for all of the population growth.

  • Canada admitted 104,256 immigrants, the lowest first-quarter figure in four years, but still historically high compared to pre-2022 levels.
  • The number of non-permanent residents declined significantly, dropping by 61,111 to 2,959,825, 7.1% of the population. This was the largest drop since the third quarter of 2020.
  • The largest reduction was among study permit holders (-53,669), primarily in Ontario (-30,160) and British Columbia (-11,742).
  • The number of asylum claimants and protected persons rose to a record 470,029.

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