Summer will officially arrive in 44 days, and here is a look at what the Old Farmer’s Almanac and Farmers’ Almanac have predicted for the 2024 summer season in Canada.
Farmers’ Almanac
Farmers’ Almanac was founded in 1818 and uses a “top secret mathematical and astronomical formula that relies on sunspot activity, tidal action, planetary position and many other factors” to predict long-range weather.
According to Farmers’ Almanac, the summer season in Canada is expected to be predominantly wet and stormy, especially in the eastern provinces.
Eastern Canada will experience a humid and warm summer similar to the previous year, with Newfoundland and Labrador seeing cooler temperatures and frequent cloudy days due to onshore breezes. Meanwhile, the Prairies are set to face scorching temperatures, occasionally moderated by showers and thunderstorms. British Columbia is anticipated to have a drier-than-usual summer with temperatures around the normal range.
Regarding Canada Day on July 1, fair weather is expected in Ontario and westward, while eastern areas might see showers. Specific forecasts include muggy conditions in Newfoundland and Labrador, rain in Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island, New Brunswick, and Quebec, and clearer skies following the holiday. The Prairies and British Columbia are predicted to enjoy clear and warm weather for the celebrations.
Significant rainfall is expected in August, particularly affecting the eastern two-thirds of Canada. Eastern and western regions may experience unseasonably cool and unsettled weather by Labour Day.
The forecast also highlights a potential hurricane threat for Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island, and Newfoundland between September 16-24, noting an increase in tropical cyclone activity typically after mid-August. The period reflects a broader hurricane season running from June 1 to November 30.
Old Farmer’s Almanac
North America’s oldest continuously published periodical (1792), Old Farmer’s Almanac, provides weather forecasts using Robert Bailey Thomas, the publication’s founder’s formula, refining it based on 30-year averages from NOAA. It is updated every decade and now incorporates sunspots and other solar activities to refine predictions by comparing them with historical weather data.
Old Farmer’s Almanac also predicts above-normal rainfall for eastern parts of the country but projects higher-than-average temperatures for most of the country, except for the eastern side of Hudson Bay, which is expected to experience cooler conditions.
In terms of precipitation, regions such as Atlantic Canada, eastern Southern Ontario, southeast British Columbia, the Yukon, and the northern Northwest Territories are predicted to receive above-normal rainfall. Meanwhile, other areas will likely see precipitation levels that are near to below normal.
Old Farmer’s Almanac predicts hot and rainy conditions for the Canadian Rockies, but hot and dry conditions for Western Canada.
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